What we grow, where and how we grow it, and what we eat. Plus how we can protect and enhance our natural environment including biodiversity.
Are financial markets mis-pricing climate related risks? This is not just about global issues such as the macro impacts of climate change. It's just as much (if not more) about the very specific risks that individual companies face. It's these individual risks we also need to clearly identify.
Many people think that financial markets are not yet fully pricing in climate and other sustainability risks (& opportunities). How might this change? One possibility is time. The other is that early warning systems like insurance and debt costs kick in - these could be our canary in the coal mine.
Disruptions to supply chains create a financial hit for companies in the food industry, especially if their competitors had planned ahead. Climate change will lead to disruptions, especially in countries already suffering heat & water stress. It's better to start planning for this now not later.
It's easy to forget that as well as investing in renewables and EV's, we also need to invest to protect our economy (or company) against the negative impacts of climate change - what is commonly called climate adaptation. This is mostly to keep people cool, and to keep agriculture producing.
We know that ruminants (mostly cows) are responsible for a big chunk of our methane emissions. As investors, who should we expect to act to reduce this, and how? And if it's not companies, should they still prepare for a lower meat/dairy future?
This is not a question about whether it is possible for humans to prosper by eating less meat (we know that is possible). It's more about how we might get to this outcome, given that our economic system currently has conflicting objectives around the price of food vs our health & environment.
It's often hard to get people to worry about the long term when the short term looks fine. This bias is a real challenge in sustainability. It can not only lead us to underestimate the financial risks, it can also lead us to misunderstand them. Global agricultural production is a great example.
More frequent climate extremes will impact our food supplies. Arguably we are past just mitigation and well into adaptation. One crop that could be materially impacted are bananas. The possible future for banana's gives us insights into the risks and opportunities for the wider food supply chain.
A lack of supply chain resilience is one of the most material investment risks faced by companies in food related industries. Within this deforestation is becoming more prominent. Put simply, if there is material deforestation taking place within a company's supply chain, the time to act is now.
The key issues for food companies - healthier diets and climate resilient supply changes. Do you really understand where the food companies you are invested in, or involved with, stand on these key issues.
Do we really think enough about how firms will adapt to climate change. At the risk of sounding defeatist, we are already heading for c. 3 C of global warming. We need companies to prepare = adaption.
Grape growers face material climate change risk, in terms of temperature increases, water shortages and climate volatility. Companies are starting to disclose some information on their responses, but we need to dig deeper.